Internacional vs Vasco da Gama Prediction & Tips

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Brazil - Serie A Regular Season - 16 Estádio Beira-Rio· Porto Alegre Saturday, May 16, 2026 21:30

Internacional PPG 1.00

4-1 MISS

Vasco da Gama PPG 0.57

Away· +4.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 41.3%

Odds: 1.97 EV: -18.6%

Draw 30.8%

Odds: 3.35 EV: +3.2%

Away 27.9%

Odds: 3.85 EV: +4.5%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 2.00 -7.6%

Over 3.5 18.6% Odds: 3.60 -19.8%

BTTS 51.3% Odds: 1.80 -7.7%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Internacional

1.20

Vasco da Gama

1.03

Model SuggestionBTTS -7.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -7.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+4.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.57)