Atletico MG vs Mirassol Prediction & Tips

Brazil - Serie A Regular Season - 16 Arena MRV· Belo Horizonte Saturday, May 16, 2026 21:30

Atletico MG PPG 1.71

3-1 MISS

Mirassol PPG 0.67

Over2.5· -0.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55% confidence

Home 45.5%

Odds: 2.00 EV: -9.0%

Draw 27.9%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -4.8%

Away 26.5%

Odds: 3.70 EV: -1.2%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Over 2.5 47.6% Odds: 2.10 -0.0%

Over 3.5 23.9% Odds: 3.85 -4.8%

BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.85 -4.5%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Atletico MG

1.39

Mirassol

1.10

Model SuggestionBTTS -4.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -4.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.71) vs P(Home)=45.5%