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Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2 logo Spain flag Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Group 2 - 37 Estadi Municipal de Can Misses· Ibiza Saturday, May 16, 2026 19:00
UD Ibiza logo UD Ibiza PPG 1.61
3-1 MISS
Cartagena logo Cartagena PPG 1.06
Draw· +3.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 42.3%
Odds: 2.05 EV: -13.3%
Draw 33.3%
Odds: 3.10 EV: +3.2%
Away 24.3%
Odds: 3.55 EV: -8.2%
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 35.0% Odds: 2.20 -23.0%
Over 3.5 7.9% Odds: 4.00 -41.0%
BTTS 46.2% Odds: 1.85 -14.5%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 1-1
4th 0-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

UD Ibiza
0.95
Cartagena
0.65

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.61) > Away AVERAGE (1.06)

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