Sabadell vs Antequera Prediction & Tips

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Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Group 2 - 37 Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta· Sabadell Saturday, May 16, 2026 19:00

Sabadell PPG 2.00

0-1 MISS

Antequera PPG 1.39

Away· +46.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.1%

Odds: 1.36 EV: -30.5%

Draw 27.7%

Odds: 3.95 EV: +5.7%

Away 21.2%

Odds: 8.40 EV: +46.9%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 36.7% Odds: 1.90 -30.3%

Over 3.5 14.1% Odds: 3.20 -32.9%

BTTS 48.6% Odds: 2.10 +2.1%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Sabadell

1.31

Antequera

0.68

Model SuggestionHome -30.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -30.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+46.9%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.39)