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Real Betis B vs Tarazona Prediction— Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2

Group 2 - 37 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 19:00

Real Betis B

PPG 1.39 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

Tarazona

PPG 0.78 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.1%0-113.1%0-26.0%0-31.9%0-4+0.5%1 1-014.6%1-113.5%1-26.2%1-31.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-07.5%2-17.0%2-23.2%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-02.6%3-12.4%3-21.1%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.8%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.9% 46.5% 2.15 -18.5%

Draw 35.0% 33.3% 3.00 +5.0%

Away win 27.1% 30.8% 3.25 -7.2%

Over 2.5 35.2% 46.5% 2.15 -24.3%

Over 3.5 13.5% 26.0% 3.85 -28.8%

BTTS 48.6% 55.6% 1.80 -12.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 59 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5 46%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 25.4%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob48.6%

H 38% / xG 1.0-0.9 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.1%

#2 1–1 13.5%

#3 1–0 14.6%

#4 0–1 13.1%

#5 2–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Real Betis B1.0

Tarazona0.9

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.2% · O3.5 PROB 13.5%

Form & verdict PPG

REAL BETIS B · PPG 1.39

TARAZONA · PPG 0.78

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.39) > Away POOR (0.78)

Win probability 1X2

Real Betis B (H) 37.9%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -18.5%

Draw 35.0%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV +5.0%

Tarazona (A) 27.1%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -7.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Real Betis B face Tarazona in Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2 on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Real Betis B a 38% chance, the draw 35% and Tarazona 27%, so Real Betis B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Real Betis B and 0.9 for Tarazona (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Real Betis B are averaging 1.39 points per game versus 0.78 for Tarazona. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +5.0%. This match finished 3-0.

Real Betis B vs Tarazona Prediction— Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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