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Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2 logo Spain flag Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Group 2 - 37 Nou Estadi de Tarragona· Tarragona Saturday, May 16, 2026 19:00
Gimnastic T. logo Gimnastic T. PPG 1.67
2-1 MISS
Europa logo Europa PPG 1.44
Away· +17.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.6%
Odds: 2.20 EV: -21.7%
Draw 27.8%
Odds: 3.00 EV: -10.0%
Away 36.6%
Odds: 3.20 EV: +17.1%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.6% Odds: 2.20 +2.5%
Over 3.5 20.2% Odds: 4.20 -9.1%
BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.85 -4.5%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 0-1
4th 1-0
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Gimnastic T.
1.14
Europa
1.16

Model Suggestion

BTTS -4.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -4.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+17.1%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.67), Away AVERAGE (1.44)

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