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Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Saturday, May 16, 2026 19:00 
Eldense PPG 2.50 
Atletico M. B PPG 1.41
Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Saturday, May 16, 2026 19:00 Eldense PPG 2.502-1 HIT CS3
Atletico M. B PPG 1.41Over2.5· +7.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 2.05 +7.8%
Over 3.5 26.5% Odds: 3.65 -2.0%
BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.80 -5.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 1-0 ✘
3rd 2-1 ✔
4th 0-0 ✘
5th 2-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Eldense 1.53
Atletico M. B 1.08
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 +7.8% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.
Raw EV leader: Over2.5(+7.8%)
Raw EV leader: Over2.5(+7.8%)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs P(Home)=48.9%