Alcorcon vs Marbella Prediction & Tips

Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Group 2 - 37 Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo· Alcorcón Saturday, May 16, 2026 19:00

Alcorcon PPG 1.44

6-2 MISS

Marbella PPG 0.56

Away· +35.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55% confidence

Home 48.5%

Odds: 1.44 EV: -30.2%

Draw 28.2%

Odds: 3.85 EV: +5.1%

Away 23.3%

Odds: 6.80 EV: +35.1%

Result: Home ✔

Over 2.5 35.0% Odds: 2.00 -30.0%

Over 3.5 13.0% Odds: 3.60 -31.9%

BTTS 48.6% Odds: 2.15 +4.5%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

1st 0-0 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Alcorcon

1.24

Marbella

0.69

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Based on 59 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5/Under 46%

BTTS/No 56%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 65.2%

Bet Hit 69% (13 bets)

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.44) vs P(Home)=48.5%