← Back to picks 
Brazil - Serie B Saturday, May 16, 2026 19:00 
Sao Bernardo PPG 1.50 
America MG PPG 0.25
Brazil - Serie B Saturday, May 16, 2026 19:00 Sao Bernardo PPG 1.501-1 HIT CS5
America MG PPG 0.25Home· +25.1% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home
Result: Draw
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 2.25 +18.4%
Over 3.5 27.6% Odds: 4.33 +11.7%
BTTS 46.2% Odds: 2.00 -7.6%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-0 ✘
2nd 1-0 ✘
3rd 3-0 ✘
4th 0-0 ✘
5th 1-1 ✔
Expected Goals (xG)
Sao Bernardo 2.23
America MG 0.42
Model Suggestion
Home +25.1% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.
Verdict & Form
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
STRONG_HOME 98%
Home team in GOOD form (1.50), Away POOR (0.25) - Strong consensus