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Argentina - Primera Nacional logo Argentina flag Argentina - Primera Nacional Regular Season - 14 Estadio Ciudad de Caseros· Buenos Aires Saturday, May 16, 2026 18:30
CA Estudiantes logo CA Estudiantes PPG 1.00
1-1 HIT CS4
Colon Santa Fe logo Colon Santa Fe PPG 1.00
Away· +11.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 26.1%
Odds: 2.50 EV: -20.8%
Draw 39.7%
Odds: 2.55 EV: +1.2%
Away 34.2%
Odds: 3.25 EV: +11.2%
Result: Draw ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 25.8% Odds: 2.95 -14.3%
Over 3.5 5.0% Odds: 6.50 -40.5%
BTTS 41.8% Odds: 2.20 -8.0%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0 ✘
2nd 0-1 ✘
3rd 1-0 ✘
4th 1-1 ✔
5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

CA Estudiantes
0.60
Colon Santa Fe
0.76

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

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