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Argentina - Primera Nacional logo Argentina flag Argentina - Primera Nacional Regular Season - 14 Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento· Isidro Casanova Saturday, May 16, 2026 18:30
Almirante Brown logo Almirante Brown PPG 1.80
0-0 HIT MostLikelyScore
San Telmo logo San Telmo PPG 0.80
Draw· +8.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.1%
Odds: 2.10 EV: -26.3%
Draw 40.9%
Odds: 2.65 EV: +8.4%
Away 24.0%
Odds: 4.20 EV: +0.5%
Result: Draw ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 25.8% Odds: 3.25 -9.7%
Over 3.5 5.0% Odds: 8.00 -36.0%
BTTS 41.8% Odds: 2.50 +4.5%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 1-1
4th 0-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Almirante Brown
0.77
San Telmo
0.60

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.80) vs P(Home)=35.1%

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