Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Kholood Prediction & Tips

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Saudi-Arabia - Pro League Regular Season - 33 King Abdullah Sports City· Jeddah Saturday, May 16, 2026 18:00

Al Ahli Jeddah PPG 2.63

3-0 HIT CS2

Al Kholood PPG 1.25

Away· +32.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 63.9%

Odds: 1.25 EV: -20.1%

Draw 21.6%

Odds: 5.40 EV: +10.0%

Away 14.5%

Odds: 10.60 EV: +32.2%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.4% Odds: 1.45 -11.0%

Over 3.5 41.5% Odds: 2.10 -12.8%

BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.77 -8.7%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0 ✘

2nd 3-0 ✔

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 1-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Ahli Jeddah

2.51

Al Kholood

0.77

Model SuggestionHome -20.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -20.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+32.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5/Under 56%

BTTS/No 56%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -4.1%

Bet Hit 55% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.63) vs P(Home)=63.9%