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Los Andes vs Godoy Cruz Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Regular Season - 14 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 18:00

Los Andes

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Godoy Cruz

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-037.9%0-115.5%0-23.2%0-30.4%0-4+0.0%1 1-021.3%1-18.7%1-21.8%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-06.0%2-12.4%2-20.5%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-01.1%3-10.5%3-20.1%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.1%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.0% 36.4% 2.75 -3.8%

Draw 41.0% 40.8% 2.45 +0.4%

Away win 24.0% 33.3% 3.00 -16.8%

Over 2.5 23.8% 28.6% 3.50 -10.0%

Over 3.5 1.7% 12.5% 8.00 -51.8%

BTTS 29.3% 40.8% 2.45 -16.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 177 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 67%

ROI -1.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob29.3%

H 35% / xG 0.6-0.4 / U2.5 24% / NoBTTS 29%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 37.9%

#2 1–0✓ 21.3%

#3 0–1 15.5%

#4 1–1 8.7%

#5 2–0 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Los Andes0.6

Godoy Cruz0.4

COMBINED 1.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 23.8% · O3.5 PROB 1.7%

Form & verdict PPG

LOS ANDES · PPG 1.00

GODOY CRUZ · PPG 1.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.20)

Win probability 1X2

Los Andes (H) 35.0%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -3.8%

Draw 41.0%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV +0.4%

Godoy Cruz (A) 24.0%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -16.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Los Andes face Godoy Cruz in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Los Andes a 35% chance, the draw 41% and Godoy Cruz 24%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.6 for Los Andes and 0.4 for Godoy Cruz (1.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 24% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 29% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Los Andes are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.20 for Godoy Cruz. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +0.4%. This match finished 1-0.

Los Andes vs Godoy Cruz Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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