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Dinamo Batumi vs Meshakhte Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga

Matchday 13 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 17:00

Dinamo Batumi

PPG 1.33 · HOME

LAST 5

DWWWW

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Meshakhte

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLLW

// Model verdict

BTTS 54% chance

Model probability 51.6% vs bookmaker-implied 54.3%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.7%0-18.8%0-23.9%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-013.9%1-112.5%1-25.6%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.9%2-19.0%2-24.0%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.7%3-14.3%3-21.9%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-12.1%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.9% 57.8% 1.73 -15.4%

Draw 26.9% 29.4% 3.40 -5.1%

Away win 24.2% 24.4% 4.10 -0.5%

Over 2.5 46.9% 50.0% 2.00 -6.2%

Over 3.5 20.7% 29.2% 3.42 -17.5%

BTTS 51.6% 54.3% 1.84 -5.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 42%

ROI 21.0%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob51.6%

H 49% / xG 1.4-0.9 / U2.5 47% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.5%

#2 1–0 13.9%

#3 0–0 9.7%

#4 2–0 9.9%

#5 2–1✓ 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dinamo Batumi1.4

Meshakhte0.9

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.9% · O3.5 PROB 20.7%

Form & verdict PPG

DINAMO BATUMI · PPG 1.33

MESHAKHTE · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

54%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.33) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Dinamo Batumi (H) 48.9%

ODDS 1.73 · IMPLIED 57.8% EV -15.4%

Draw 26.9%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -5.1%

Meshakhte (A) 24.2%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -0.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dinamo Batumi face Meshakhte in Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dinamo Batumi a 49% chance, the draw 27% and Meshakhte 24%, so Dinamo Batumi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Dinamo Batumi and 0.9 for Meshakhte (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dinamo Batumi are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.00 for Meshakhte. This match finished 2-1.

Dinamo Batumi vs Meshakhte Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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