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Spain - Segunda División logo Spain flag Spain - Segunda División Regular Season - 40 Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes· Granada Saturday, May 16, 2026 16:30
Granada logo Granada PPG 1.37
0-1 HIT CS3
Burgos logo Burgos PPG 1.47
Home· +5.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 34.6%
Odds: 3.05 EV: +5.5%
Draw 32.3%
Odds: 3.05 EV: -1.5%
Away 33.1%
Odds: 2.44 EV: -19.2%
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 38.4% Odds: 2.55 -2.1%
Over 3.5 14.2% Odds: 5.25 -15.3%
BTTS 48.6% Odds: 2.05 -0.4%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 0-1
4th 1-0
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Granada
0.99
Burgos
1.01

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%
O2.5/Under 56%
BTTS/No 56%
Score Hit 54%
ROI 8.0%
Bet Hit 64% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.37), Away AVERAGE (1.47)

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