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Spain - Segunda División Saturday, May 16, 2026 16:30 
Almeria PPG 2.32 
Las Palmas PPG 1.32
Spain - Segunda División Saturday, May 16, 2026 16:30 Almeria PPG 2.321-2 MISS
Las Palmas PPG 1.32Over2.5· +0.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 59.1% Odds: 1.70 +0.5%
Over 3.5 32.8% Odds: 2.70 -11.4%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.57 -6.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 1-0 ✘
5th 0-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Almeria 1.66
Las Palmas 1.23
Model Suggestion
BTTS -6.3% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-6.3%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 70 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 56%
O2.5/Under 56%
BTTS/No 56%
Score Hit 54%
ROI 8.0%
Bet Hit 64% (11 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.32) vs P(Home)=48.6%