Lok. Zagreb vs Hajduk Split Prediction & Tips

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Croatia - HNL Regular Season - 35 Stadion Maksimir· Zagreb Saturday, May 16, 2026 16:15

Lok. Zagreb PPG 1.65

1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

Hajduk Split PPG 1.71

Home· +1.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 28.0%

Odds: 3.65 EV: +1.3%

Draw 27.3%

Odds: 3.50 EV: -2.7%

Away 44.7%

Odds: 1.88 EV: -16.0%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.6% Odds: 1.73 -17.6%

Over 3.5 23.5% Odds: 2.80 -20.5%

BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.60 -17.4%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 0-1 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 0-2 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Lok. Zagreb

0.97

Hajduk Split

1.50

Model SuggestionBTTS -17.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -17.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+1.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.65), Away GOOD (1.71)