Al Akhdoud vs Al Khaleej Prediction & Tips

Saudi-Arabia - Pro League Regular Season - 33 Prince Hathloul bin Abdul Aziz Sports City· Najran Saturday, May 16, 2026 16:05

Al Akhdoud PPG 0.75

3-1 MISS

Al Khaleej PPG 1.06

Over3.5· +2.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 22.7%

Odds: 4.40 EV: -0.1%

Draw 23.6%

Odds: 4.00 EV: -3.4%

Away 53.7%

Odds: 1.68 EV: -9.8%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.4% Odds: 1.62 -0.5%

Over 3.5 40.3% Odds: 2.55 +2.8%

BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.60 -4.5%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 0-2 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 1-3 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Akhdoud

1.15

Al Khaleej

2.08

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -0.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -0.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Over3.5 (+2.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.75) vs Away AVERAGE (1.06)