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Argentina - Primera Nacional logo Argentina flag Argentina - Primera Nacional Regular Season - 14 Saturday, May 16, 2026 16:00
A. Atlanta logo A. Atlanta PPG 1.86
2-0 HIT CS5
A. Rafaela logo A. Rafaela PPG 1.00
BTTS· +22.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.4%
Odds: 1.77 EV: -37.3%
Draw 40.7%
Odds: 2.85 EV: +16.0%
Away 23.9%
Odds: 5.50 EV: +18.9%
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 25.8% Odds: 3.20 -10.5%
Over 3.5 6.1% Odds: 7.00 -34.4%
BTTS 46.2% Odds: 2.65 +22.4%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 1-1
4th 0-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

A. Atlanta
0.84
A. Rafaela
0.62

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 99 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%
O2.5/Under 76%
BTTS/No 66%
Score Hit 74%
ROI 0.3%
Bet Hit 47% (17 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.86) vs P(Home)=35.4%

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