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Vevey Sports vs Bulle Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Regular Season - 32 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 15:30

Vevey Sports

PPG 0.40 · HOME

2 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Bulle

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 69.8% vs bookmaker-implied 80.0%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.1%0-13.5%0-25.5%0-35.8%0-4+10.0%1 1-01.5%1-14.7%1-27.4%1-37.8%1-4+13.5%2 2-01.0%2-13.2%2-25.0%2-35.3%2-4+9.1%3 3-00.5%3-11.4%3-22.3%3-32.4%3-4+4.1%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.7%4+-21.0%4+-31.1%4+-4+1.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.8% 15.2% 6.60 -5.3%

Draw 21.1% 20.0% 5.00 +3.3%

Away win 65.1% 75.2% 1.33 -13.4%

Over 2.5 69.8% 80.0% 1.25 -12.8%

Over 3.5 65.7% 60.6% 1.65 +8.4%

BTTS 62.8% 72.5% 1.38 -13.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -3.6%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 70%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-3

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)3.1 BTTS prob62.8%

A 65% / xG 1.4-3.1 / O2.5 70% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–3 7.8%

#2 1–2 7.4%

#3 1–4 6.1%

#4 0–3 5.8%

#5 0–2 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vevey Sports1.4

Bulle3.1

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.8% · O3.5 PROB 65.7%

Form & verdict PPG

VEVEY SPORTS · PPG 0.40

BULLE · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.00) vs Home POOR (0.40)

Win probability 1X2

Vevey Sports (H) 13.8%

ODDS 6.60 · IMPLIED 15.2% EV -5.3%

Draw 21.1%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +3.3%

Bulle (A) 65.1%

ODDS 1.33 · IMPLIED 75.2% EV -13.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Vevey Sports face Bulle in Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vevey Sports a 14% chance, the draw 21% and Bulle 65%, so Bulle are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Vevey Sports and 3.1 for Bulle (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-3. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vevey Sports are averaging 0.40 points per game versus 1.00 for Bulle. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +8.4%. This match finished 2-3.

Vevey Sports vs Bulle Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Match Preview & Prediction

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