Orijent vs Karlovac Prediction & Tips

← Back to picks

Croatia - First NL Regular Season - 31 Stadion Krimeja· Rijeka Saturday, May 16, 2026 15:30

Orijent PPG 1.14

1-0 HIT CS3

Karlovac PPG 0.79

Away· +35.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.4%

Odds: 1.50 EV: -31.9%

Draw 28.1%

Odds: 3.40 EV: -2.7%

Away 26.5%

Odds: 6.00 EV: +35.4%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.7% Odds: 2.10 -1.9%

Over 3.5 20.3% Odds: 3.75 -14.3%

BTTS 51.6% Odds: 2.10 +8.4%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✔

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Orijent

1.28

Karlovac

1.03

Model SuggestionBTTS +8.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is +8.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+35.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.14) > Away POOR (0.79)