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Spain - Segunda División logo Spain flag Spain - Segunda División Regular Season - 40 Estadio Municipal Reino de León· León Saturday, May 16, 2026 14:15
Leonesa logo Leonesa PPG 0.74
2-1 MISS
Eibar logo Eibar PPG 1.11
Away· +2.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 25.2%
Odds: 2.96 EV: -15.2%
Draw 30.5%
Odds: 3.35 EV: +2.2%
Away 44.2%
Odds: 2.32 EV: +2.5%
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 35.5% Odds: 2.10 -25.4%
Over 3.5 13.6% Odds: 3.80 -29.0%
BTTS 48.6% Odds: 1.80 -12.5%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 0-1
3rd 1-1
4th 0-2
5th 1-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Leonesa
0.75
Eibar
1.21

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.74) vs Away AVERAGE (1.11)

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