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Cham vs BSC Y. Boys B Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Regular Season - 32 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 14:00

Cham

PPG 1.67 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

BSC Y. Boys B

PPG 1.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.9% vs bookmaker-implied 72.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-14.0%0-24.3%0-33.2%0-4+2.8%1 1-03.3%1-17.3%1-27.9%1-35.7%1-4+5.2%2 2-03.0%2-16.6%2-27.2%2-35.2%2-4+4.7%3 3-01.9%3-14.0%3-24.4%3-33.2%3-4+2.9%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-12.8%4+-23.0%4+-32.2%4+-4+2.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.2% 58.8% 1.70 -40.2%

Draw 23.3% 24.4% 4.10 -2.7%

Away win 41.4% 26.7% 3.75 +55.3%

Over 2.5 63.9% 72.5% 1.38 -11.8%

Over 3.5 56.6% 51.3% 1.95 +10.4%

BTTS 63.0% 72.5% 1.38 -13.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -3.6%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 58%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob63.0%

A 41% / xG 1.8-2.2 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 7.3%

#2 1–2 7.9%

#3 2–2 7.2%

#4 2–1 6.6%

#5 1–3 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cham1.8

BSC Y. Boys B2.2

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 56.6%

Form & verdict PPG

CHAM · PPG 1.67

BSC Y. BOYS B · PPG 1.80

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.67), Away GOOD (1.80)

Win probability 1X2

Cham (H) 35.2%

ODDS 1.70 · IMPLIED 58.8% EV -40.2%

Draw 23.3%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -2.7%

BSC Y. Boys B (A) 41.4%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV +55.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Cham face BSC Y. Boys B in Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cham a 35% chance, the draw 23% and BSC Y. Boys B 41%, so BSC Y. Boys B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Cham and 2.2 for BSC Y. Boys B (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cham are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.80 for BSC Y. Boys B. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +55.3%. This match finished 1-1.

Cham vs BSC Y. Boys B Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Match Preview & Prediction

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