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Bruhl vs FC Zurich B Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Regular Season - 32 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 14:00

Bruhl

PPG 2.60 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

FC Zurich B

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 69.8% vs bookmaker-implied 78.1%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.3%0-11.8%0-21.3%0-30.6%0-4+0.3%1 1-03.8%1-15.4%1-23.8%1-31.8%1-4+0.9%2 2-05.6%2-17.9%2-25.6%2-32.6%2-4+1.3%3 3-05.4%3-17.7%3-25.4%3-32.6%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-08.2%4+-111.6%4+-28.2%4+-33.9%4+-4+1.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 59.2% 73.5% 1.36 -19.5%

Draw 20.4% 20.8% 4.80 -1.3%

Away win 20.4% 15.6% 6.40 +18.3%

Over 2.5 69.8% 78.1% 1.28 -10.7%

Over 3.5 63.2% 58.8% 1.70 +7.4%

BTTS 63.0% 71.4% 1.40 -11.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -3.6%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 64%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)2.9 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob63.0%

H 59% / xG 2.9-1.4 / O2.5 70% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.9%

#2 3–1✓ 7.7%

#3 1–1 5.4%

#4 4–1 5.6%

#5 2–0 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bruhl2.9

FC Zurich B1.4

COMBINED 4.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.8% · O3.5 PROB 63.2%

Form & verdict PPG

BRUHL · PPG 2.60

FC ZURICH B · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.60) vs P(Home)=59.2%

Win probability 1X2

Bruhl (H) 59.2%

ODDS 1.36 · IMPLIED 73.5% EV -19.5%

Draw 20.4%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV -1.3%

FC Zurich B (A) 20.4%

ODDS 6.40 · IMPLIED 15.6% EV +18.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bruhl face FC Zurich B in Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bruhl a 59% chance, the draw 20% and FC Zurich B 20%, so Bruhl are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for Bruhl and 1.4 for FC Zurich B (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bruhl are averaging 2.60 points per game versus 1.67 for FC Zurich B. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +18.3%. This match finished 3-1.

Bruhl vs FC Zurich B Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Match Preview & Prediction

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