Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 69.8% Odds: 1.28 -10.7%
Over 3.5 63.2% Odds: 1.70 +7.4%
BTTS 63.0% Odds: 1.40 -11.8%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-1 ✘
2nd 3-1 ✔
3rd 1-1 ✘
4th 4-1 ✘
5th 2-0 ✘
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -10.7% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-10.7%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B... HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.60) vs P(Home)=59.2%