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Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion logo Switzerland flag Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion Regular Season - 32 Sportplatz Spitalacker· Bern Saturday, May 16, 2026 14:00
Breitenrain logo Breitenrain PPG 1.53
1-0 MISS
Basel B logo Basel B PPG 1.73
Away· +9.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.1%
Odds: 2.25 EV: -21.0%
Draw 23.7%
Odds: 3.65 EV: -8.1%
Away 41.2%
Odds: 2.65 EV: +9.2%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.4% Odds: 1.53 -6.1%
Over 3.5 41.3% Odds: 2.35 -2.9%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.44 -14.0%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 2-1
4th 2-2
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Breitenrain
1.50
Basel B
1.77

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -6.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -6.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+9.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.53), Away GOOD (1.73)

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