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Norway - Eliteserien logo Norway flag Norway - Eliteserien Regular Season - 9 Lyse Arena· Stavanger Saturday, May 16, 2026 14:00
Viking logo Viking PPG 3.00
6-3 MISS
Start logo Start PPG 0.20
Over3.5· +22.7% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
95% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 75.0%
Odds: 1.18 EV: -11.5%
Draw 17.4%
Odds: 6.20 EV: +4.7%
Away 7.6%
Odds: 15.00 EV: +8.4%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 69.8% Odds: 1.38 -3.7%
Over 3.5 62.9% Odds: 1.95 +22.7%
BTTS 48.6% Odds: 1.85 -10.1%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 3-0
2nd 4-0
3rd 2-0
4th 5-0
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Viking
3.82
Start
0.51

Model Suggestion

Home -11.5% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-11.5%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
95%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (3.00), Away POOR (0.20) - Strong consensus

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