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Norway - Eliteserien Saturday, May 16, 2026 14:00 
Molde PPG 2.25 
Kristiansund PPG 0.33
Norway - Eliteserien Saturday, May 16, 2026 14:00 Molde PPG 2.251-0 HIT CS2
Kristiansund PPG 0.33Away· +7.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 59.1% Odds: 1.44 -14.9%
Over 3.5 33.4% Odds: 2.10 -29.9%
BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.57 -19.0%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-0 ✘
2nd 1-0 ✔
3rd 1-1 ✘
4th 2-1 ✘
5th 3-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Molde 2.18
Kristiansund 0.73
Model Suggestion
Home -15.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -15.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+7.5%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+7.5%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 35 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 57%
O2.5/Under 51%
BTTS/No 51%
Score Hit 51%
ROI 5.7%
Bet Hit 60% (10 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs P(Home)=60.7%