Lillestrom vs Sandefjord Prediction & Tips

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Norway - Eliteserien Regular Season - 9 Åråsen· Lillestrøm Saturday, May 16, 2026 14:00

Lillestrom PPG 2.00

3-1 MISS

Sandefjord PPG 1.50

Draw· +3.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.5%

Odds: 1.80 EV: -7.3%

Draw 27.1%

Odds: 3.90 EV: +3.4%

Away 21.4%

Odds: 3.85 EV: -10.6%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 43.3% Odds: 1.48 -35.9%

Over 3.5 14.5% Odds: 2.15 -41.3%

BTTS 48.6% Odds: 1.44 -30.0%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Lillestrom

1.37

Sandefjord

0.65

Model SuggestionHome -7.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -7.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Draw (+3.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5/Under 51%

BTTS/No 51%

Score Hit 51%

ROI 5.7%

Bet Hit 60% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away GOOD (1.50)