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Norway - Eliteserien logo Norway flag Norway - Eliteserien Regular Season - 9 Fredrikstad Stadion· Fredrikstad Saturday, May 16, 2026 14:00
Fredrikstad logo Fredrikstad PPG 1.33
2-1 HIT CS2
HamKam logo HamKam PPG 0.50
Over3.5· +34.4% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 41.1%
Odds: 1.95 EV: -19.9%
Draw 23.4%
Odds: 3.55 EV: -10.2%
Away 35.5%
Odds: 3.65 EV: +29.6%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.73 +10.5%
Over 3.5 48.0% Odds: 2.80 +34.4%
BTTS 62.5% Odds: 1.60 0.0%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-2
4th 2-2
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Fredrikstad
1.83
HamKam
1.75

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +10.5% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+34.4%)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.33) vs P(Home)=41.1%

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