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Croatia - HNL logo Croatia flag Croatia - HNL Regular Season - 35 Gradski stadion Velika Gorica· Velika Gorica Saturday, May 16, 2026 14:00
Gorica logo Gorica PPG 1.24
2-0 HIT CS4
Osijek logo Osijek PPG 0.94
Home· -1.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 47.7%
Odds: 2.06 EV: -1.7%
Draw 28.1%
Odds: 3.15 EV: -6.9%
Away 24.2%
Odds: 3.50 EV: -9.2%
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 2.05 -5.3%
Over 3.5 16.4% Odds: 3.65 -24.1%
BTTS 48.6% Odds: 1.80 -12.5%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 2-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Gorica
1.28
Osijek
0.83

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%
O2.5/Under 71%
BTTS/No 50%
Score Hit 62%
ROI -28.6%
Bet Hit 29% (7 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.24) > Away POOR (0.94)

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