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Austria - Regionalliga - Ost
Ost - 31
Sportplatz Retz· Retz
Saturday, May 16, 2026
14:00
Retz
PPG 0.57
0-0
MISS
Gloggnitz
PPG 1.79
Draw· +45.1%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
13.7%
Odds: 10.00
EV: +22.2%
Draw
21.9%
Odds: 8.00
EV: +45.1%
Away
64.4%
Odds: 1.12
EV: -27.9%
Model lean:
Away
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
61.4%
Odds: 1.30
-20.2%
Over 3.5
38.9%
Odds: 1.77
-31.1%
BTTS
51.7%
Odds: 2.04
+5.5%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘
BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
0-2
✘
2nd
1-2
✘
3rd
1-1
✘
4th
0-3
✘
5th
0-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Retz
0.83
Gloggnitz
2.33
Model Suggestion
Away
-27.9%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans Away, but EV is -27.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV:
Draw (+45.1%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63%
UPSET_VALUE
Away momentum: GOOD form (1.79) vs Home POOR (0.57)