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Cesena U20 vs Juventus U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Regular Season - 37 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 09:00

Cesena U20

PPG 2.28 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Juventus U20

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.3%0-15.8%0-23.1%0-31.1%0-4+0.4%1 1-09.9%1-110.7%1-25.8%1-32.1%1-4+0.7%2 2-09.1%2-19.9%2-25.3%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-05.6%3-16.1%3-23.3%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-03.9%4+-14.3%4+-22.3%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.3% — — —

Draw 25.6% — — —

Away win 25.1% — — —

Over 2.5 59.3% — — —

Over 3.5 33.7% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -28.0%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob54.6%

H 49% / xG 1.8-1.1 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.7%

#2 2–1 9.9%

#3 2–0 9.1%

#4 1–0 9.9%

#5 0–0 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cesena U201.8

Juventus U201.1

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.3% · O3.5 PROB 33.7%

Form & verdict PPG

CESENA U20 · PPG 2.28

JUVENTUS U20 · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.28) vs P(Home)=49.3%

Win probability 1X2

Cesena U20 (H) 49.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Juventus U20 (A) 25.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Cesena U20 face Juventus U20 in Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1 on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cesena U20 a 49% chance, the draw 26% and Juventus U20 25%, so Cesena U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Cesena U20 and 1.1 for Juventus U20 (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cesena U20 are averaging 2.28 points per game versus 1.00 for Juventus U20. This match finished 0-1.

Cesena U20 vs Juventus U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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