Today / Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Sunday / UDI 19 vs UNA

UDI 19 vs UNA Prediction— Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Sunday

Group B - 33 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 13:30

UDI 19

PPG 1.13 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

UNA

PPG 1.19 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-13.9%0-23.8%0-32.4%0-4+1.8%1 1-04.0%1-17.7%1-27.4%1-34.8%1-4+3.6%2 2-03.9%2-17.6%2-27.3%2-34.7%2-4+3.5%3 3-02.6%3-15.0%3-24.8%3-33.1%3-4+2.3%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-13.8%4+-23.7%4+-32.4%4+-4+1.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.9% — — —

Draw 23.5% — — —

Away win 35.6% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 54.7% — — —

BTTS 63.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -21.2%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob63.0%

H 41% / xG 2.0-1.9 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.7%

#2 2–1 7.6%

#3 1–2 7.4%

#4 2–2 7.3%

#5 3–1 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

UDI 192.0

UNA1.9

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 54.7%

Form & verdict PPG

UDI 19 · PPG 1.13

UNA · PPG 1.19

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.13), Away AVERAGE (1.19)

Win probability 1X2

UDI 19 (H) 40.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

UNA (A) 35.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

UDI 19 face UNA in Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Sunday on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives UDI 19 a 41% chance, the draw 24% and UNA 36%, so UDI 19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for UDI 19 and 1.9 for UNA (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, UDI 19 are averaging 1.13 points per game versus 1.19 for UNA. This match finished 1-3.

UDI 19 vs UNA Prediction— Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Sunday

Match Preview & Prediction

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