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Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Sunday logo Netherlands flag Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Sunday Group B - 31 Prins Willem Alexander Sportpark· Veghel Sunday, April 26, 2026 12:00
Blauw Geel 38 logo Blauw Geel 38 PPG 1.40
0-2 MISS
UNA logo UNA PPG 1.07
Away· +2.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.1%
Odds: 1.75 EV: -21.1%
Draw 27.6%
Odds: 3.40 EV: -6.2%
Away 27.3%
Odds: 3.75 EV: +2.4%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.5% Odds: —
Over 3.5 48.4% Odds: —
BTTS 58.5% Odds: 1.50 -12.3%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-2
4th 1-2
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Blauw Geel 38
2.06
UNA
1.53

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is — at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+2.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5/Under 67%
BTTS/No 61%
Score Hit 33%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.40) > Away AVERAGE (1.07)

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