Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.48 -5.4%
Over 3.5 55.3% Odds: 2.15 +18.9%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.60 -4.5%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-1 ✔
2nd 3-1 ✘
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 1-1 ✘
5th 3-0 ✘
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -5.4% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-5.4%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.
Verdict & Form
✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage MODERATE_HOME Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.50)