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Brann vs KFUM Oslo Prediction— Norway - Eliteserien

Matchday 9 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 12:00

Brann

PPG 1.00 · HOME

LAST 5

WLWWD

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

KFUM Oslo

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWWDL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 67% chance

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.9% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-12.3%0-21.3%0-30.5%0-4+0.2%1 1-05.5%1-16.3%1-23.6%1-31.4%1-4+0.5%2 2-07.6%2-18.7%2-25.1%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-07.0%3-18.1%3-24.7%3-31.8%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-09.5%4+-111.0%4+-26.4%4+-32.4%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 60.3% 71.4% 1.40 -15.6%

Draw 20.9% 21.1% 4.75 -0.4%

Away win 18.8% 15.4% 6.50 +13.3%

Over 2.5 63.9% 67.6% 1.48 -5.4%

Over 3.5 55.3% 46.5% 2.15 +18.9%

BTTS 59.7% 62.5% 1.60 -4.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 93 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 42%

ROI 9.5%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 68%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)2.8 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob59.7%

H 60% / xG 2.8-1.2 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1✓ 8.7%

#2 3–1 8.1%

#3 2–0 7.6%

#4 1–1 6.3%

#5 3–0 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Brann2.8

KFUM Oslo1.2

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 55.3%

Form & verdict PPG

BRANN · PPG 1.00

KFUM OSLO · PPG 0.50

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

Chance this pick lands

67%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.50)

Win probability 1X2

Brann (H) 60.3%

ODDS 1.40 · IMPLIED 71.4% EV -15.6%

Draw 20.9%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV -0.4%

KFUM Oslo (A) 18.8%

ODDS 6.50 · IMPLIED 15.4% EV +13.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Brann face KFUM Oslo in Norway - Eliteserien on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brann a 60% chance, the draw 21% and KFUM Oslo 19%, so Brann are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Brann and 1.2 for KFUM Oslo (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brann are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.50 for KFUM Oslo. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +18.9%. This match finished 2-1.

Brann vs KFUM Oslo Prediction— Norway - Eliteserien

Match Preview & Prediction

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