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Indonesia - Liga 1
Regular Season - 33
Gelora Kie Raha Stadium· Ternate
Saturday, May 16, 2026
12:00
Malut United
PPG 1.69
1-1
HIT MostLikelyScore
Persita
PPG 1.13
Away· +9.1%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
50.9%
Odds: 1.55
EV: -21.1%
Draw
25.1%
Odds: 4.00
EV: +0.2%
Away
24.0%
Odds: 4.80
EV: +9.1%
Model lean:
BTTS
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
52.6%
Odds: 1.55
-18.5%
Over 3.5
30.2%
Odds: 2.38
-28.1%
BTTS
53.9%
Odds: 1.57
-15.4%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✔
2nd
2-1
✘
3rd
2-0
✘
4th
1-0
✘
5th
0-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Malut United
1.69
Persita
1.08
Model Suggestion
BTTS
-15.4%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans BTTS, but EV is -15.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV:
Away (+9.1%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.69) > Away AVERAGE (1.13)