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Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern logo Germany flag Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern Bayern - 34 Manfred-Zollner-Stadion· Cham Saturday, May 16, 2026 12:00
Vilzing logo Vilzing PPG 1.63
5-2 MISS
Greuther F. B logo Greuther F. B PPG 0.81
Home· +8.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.4%
Odds: 2.20 EV: +8.7%
Draw 25.9%
Odds: 3.65 EV: -3.3%
Away 24.7%
Odds: 2.65 EV: -20.7%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 1.62 -14.8%
Over 3.5 28.1% Odds: 2.60 -16.2%
BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.50 -21.1%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-0
4th 2-0
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Vilzing
1.59
Greuther F. B
1.09

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -14.8% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

League Track Record

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%
O2.5/Under 59%
BTTS/No 51%
Score Hit 28%
ROI -0.4%
Bet Hit 56% (16 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.63) vs P(Home)=49.4%

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