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Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern logo Germany flag Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern Bayern - 34 Xaver-Bertsch-Sportpark· Ansbach Saturday, May 16, 2026 12:00
Ansbach logo Ansbach PPG 1.69
1-4 MISS
Wurzburger K. logo Wurzburger K. PPG 2.00
Draw· +7.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
45% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 14.2%
Odds: 5.75 EV: -11.0%
Draw 24.3%
Odds: 4.60 EV: +7.1%
Away 61.5%
Odds: 1.40 EV: -13.9%
Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.3% Odds: 1.42 -15.8%
Over 3.5 36.7% Odds: 2.05 -24.8%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.55 -15.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-2
3rd 1-2
4th 0-1
5th 0-3

Expected Goals (xG)

Ansbach
0.99
Wurzburger K.
2.07

Model Suggestion

Away -13.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -13.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+7.1%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%
O2.5/Under 59%
BTTS/No 51%
Score Hit 28%
ROI -0.4%
Bet Hit 56% (16 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: GOOD (1.69) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

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