Germany - Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 34Max-Morlock-Platz im Sportpark Valznerweiher· NürnbergSaturday, May 16, 202612:00
Nurnberg BPPG 2.44
2-2MISS
Hankofen-H.PPG 0.56
Draw· +21.4%⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
66% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home68.2%
Odds: 1.20EV: -18.2%
Draw22.6%
Odds: 6.00EV: +21.4%
Away9.2%
Odds: 10.25EV: -3.4%
Model lean: HomeNot tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.563.9%Odds: 1.17-25.2%
Over 3.545.8%Odds: 1.48-32.2%
BTTS50.1%Odds: 1.42-28.9%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st2-0✘
2nd3-0✘
3rd2-1✘
4th4-0✘
5th1-0✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Nurnberg B
2.81
Hankofen-H.
0.66
Model Suggestion
Home-18.2%NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -18.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet. Highest raw EV: Draw (+21.4%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
66%
STRONG_HOME
Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.44), Away POOR (0.56) - Strong consensus