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Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern logo Germany flag Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern Bayern - 34 Max-Morlock-Platz im Sportpark Valznerweiher· Nürnberg Saturday, May 16, 2026 12:00
Nurnberg B logo Nurnberg B PPG 2.44
2-2 MISS
Hankofen-H. logo Hankofen-H. PPG 0.56
Draw· +21.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
66% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 68.2%
Odds: 1.20 EV: -18.2%
Draw 22.6%
Odds: 6.00 EV: +21.4%
Away 9.2%
Odds: 10.25 EV: -3.4%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.17 -25.2%
Over 3.5 45.8% Odds: 1.48 -32.2%
BTTS 50.1% Odds: 1.42 -28.9%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 3-0
3rd 2-1
4th 4-0
5th 1-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Nurnberg B
2.81
Hankofen-H.
0.66

Model Suggestion

Home -18.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -18.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+21.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.44), Away POOR (0.56) - Strong consensus

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