Illertissen vs Schwaben A. Prediction & Tips

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Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern Bayern - 34 Vöhlin-Stadion· Illertissen Saturday, May 16, 2026 12:00

Illertissen PPG 1.75

2-1 HIT CS2

Schwaben A. PPG 1.13

Away· +2.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 55.1%

Odds: 1.57 EV: -13.5%

Draw 23.0%

Odds: 3.95 EV: -5.5%

Away 21.9%

Odds: 4.75 EV: +2.4%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.4% Odds: 1.50 -7.9%

Over 3.5 42.1% Odds: 2.20 -7.4%

BTTS 58.8% Odds: 1.50 -11.8%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✔

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 3-1 ✘

5th 3-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Illertissen

2.28

Schwaben A.

1.02

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -7.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -7.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+2.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.75) > Away AVERAGE (1.13)