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Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern Saturday, May 16, 2026 12:00 
Unterhaching PPG 2.13 
W. Burghausen PPG 0.94
Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern Saturday, May 16, 2026 12:00 Unterhaching PPG 2.134-0 MISS
W. Burghausen PPG 0.94Draw· +2.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 59.1% Odds: 1.42 -16.1%
Over 3.5 32.9% Odds: 2.05 -32.6%
BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.50 -22.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-0 ✘
2nd 1-1 ✘
3rd 1-0 ✘
4th 2-1 ✘
5th 3-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Unterhaching 2.08
W. Burghausen 0.81
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -16.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -16.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+2.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+2.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 53 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 57%
O2.5/Under 59%
BTTS/No 51%
Score Hit 28%
ROI -0.4%
Bet Hit 56% (16 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.13) vs P(Home)=57.6%