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Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern logo Germany flag Germany - Regionalliga - Bayern Bayern - 34 Liqui-Moly-Stadion· Eichstätt Saturday, May 16, 2026 12:00
Eichstatt logo Eichstatt PPG 1.63
0-1 MISS
Buchbach logo Buchbach PPG 1.13
Away· +4.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 52.9%
Odds: 1.53 EV: -19.1%
Draw 24.5%
Odds: 4.20 EV: +1.7%
Away 22.6%
Odds: 4.75 EV: +4.4%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.4% Odds: 1.42 -12.8%
Over 3.5 40.7% Odds: 2.05 -16.6%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.45 -13.4%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-0
4th 3-1
5th 1-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Eichstatt
2.11
Buchbach
1.13

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -12.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -12.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+4.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.63) > Away AVERAGE (1.13)

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