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Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest logo Germany flag Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest Südwest - 34 SIBRE Sportzentrum Haarwasen Haiger· Haiger Saturday, May 16, 2026 12:00
Steinbach logo Steinbach PPG 1.56
4-2 MISS
Bahlinger logo Bahlinger PPG 0.63
Over3.5· +10.4% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 63.2%
Odds: 1.30 EV: -17.8%
Draw 21.1%
Odds: 5.25 EV: +6.5%
Away 15.7%
Odds: 7.20 EV: +7.8%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.33 -15.0%
Over 3.5 59.7% Odds: 1.85 +10.4%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.55 -7.5%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 3-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 3-0
4th 2-0
5th 4-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Steinbach
3.07
Bahlinger
1.09

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -15.0% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-15.0%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 32%
O2.5/Under 68%
BTTS/No 68%
Score Hit 23%
ROI -39.7%
Bet Hit 42% (12 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.56) vs P(Home)=63.2%

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