← Back to picks 
Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest Saturday, May 16, 2026 12:00 
Eintracht Trier PPG 1.88 
Schott Mainz PPG 0.94
Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest Saturday, May 16, 2026 12:00 Eintracht Trier PPG 1.882-0 HIT CS3
Schott Mainz PPG 0.94Away· +5.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.40 -10.5%
Over 3.5 48.1% Odds: 2.05 -1.4%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.48 -11.6%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-1 ✘
2nd 1-1 ✘
3rd 2-0 ✔
4th 3-1 ✘
5th 2-2 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Eintracht Trier 2.33
Schott Mainz 1.25
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -10.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -10.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+5.8%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+5.8%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.88) vs P(Home)=53.5%