FSV Mainz B vs Freiburg B Prediction & Tips

Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest Südwest - 34 Stadion am Bruchweg· Mainz Saturday, May 16, 2026 12:00

FSV Mainz B PPG 1.81

0-4 MISS

Freiburg B PPG 1.31

Draw· -3.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Home 52.3%

Odds: 1.80 EV: -5.9%

Draw 23.1%

Odds: 4.10 EV: -3.2%

Away 24.6%

Odds: 3.35 EV: -10.5%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.30 -16.9%

Over 3.5 52.9% Odds: 1.77 -6.4%

BTTS 62.8% Odds: 1.30 -18.4%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 2-2 ✘

4th 3-1 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

FSV Mainz B

2.29

Freiburg B

1.53

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -16.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -16.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.81) > Away AVERAGE (1.31)