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Fulda-Lehnerz vs FSV Frankfurt Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest

Südwest - 34 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 12:00

Fulda-Lehnerz

PPG 1.56 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

FSV Frankfurt

PPG 2.06 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 59.7% vs bookmaker-implied 70.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.0%0-17.8%0-26.1%0-33.2%0-4+1.8%1 1-07.2%1-111.2%1-28.7%1-34.6%1-4+2.5%2 2-05.1%2-18.0%2-26.3%2-33.3%2-4+1.8%3 3-02.5%3-13.9%3-23.0%3-31.6%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.9%4+-21.5%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.4% 51.3% 1.95 -29.0%

Draw 26.2% 25.3% 3.95 +2.1%

Away win 37.4% 33.9% 2.95 +10.3%

Over 2.5 59.1% 69.0% 1.45 -14.3%

Over 3.5 35.3% 45.5% 2.20 -22.3%

BTTS 59.7% 70.4% 1.42 -15.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 32%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 23%

ROI -13.7%

Bet Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 44%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob59.7%

A 37% / xG 1.4-1.6 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.2%

#2 1–2✓ 8.7%

#3 2–1 8.0%

#4 0–0 5.0%

#5 2–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fulda-Lehnerz1.4

FSV Frankfurt1.6

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.1% · O3.5 PROB 35.3%

Form & verdict PPG

FULDA-LEHNERZ · PPG 1.56

FSV FRANKFURT · PPG 2.06

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: GOOD (1.56) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.06)

Win probability 1X2

Fulda-Lehnerz (H) 36.4%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -29.0%

Draw 26.2%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV +2.1%

FSV Frankfurt (A) 37.4%

ODDS 2.95 · IMPLIED 33.9% EV +10.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Fulda-Lehnerz face FSV Frankfurt in Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fulda-Lehnerz a 36% chance, the draw 26% and FSV Frankfurt 37%, so FSV Frankfurt are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Fulda-Lehnerz and 1.6 for FSV Frankfurt (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fulda-Lehnerz are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 2.06 for FSV Frankfurt. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +10.3%. This match finished 1-2.

Fulda-Lehnerz vs FSV Frankfurt Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest

Match Preview & Prediction

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