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FSV Frankfurt vs Steinbach Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest

Südwest - 31 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 12:00

FSV Frankfurt

PPG 1.33 · HOME

0 – 6

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Steinbach

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 67.1% vs bookmaker-implied 70.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.4%0-12.9%0-23.2%0-32.3%0-4+2.1%1 1-02.9%1-16.3%1-26.8%1-34.9%1-4+4.4%2 2-03.1%2-16.7%2-27.2%2-35.2%2-4+4.7%3 3-02.2%3-14.7%3-25.1%3-33.7%3-4+3.4%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-14.1%4+-24.5%4+-33.3%4+-4+2.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.4% 52.6% 1.90 -25.1%

Draw 26.1% 26.0% 3.85 +0.5%

Away win 34.5% 31.3% 3.20 +10.4%

Over 2.5 67.1% 70.4% 1.42 -4.7%

Over 3.5 62.3% 48.8% 2.05 +27.7%

BTTS 65.5% 72.5% 1.38 -9.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 32%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 23%

ROI -13.7%

Bet Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 51%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-6

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob65.5%

A 34% / xG 2.1-2.2 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 7.2%

#2 1–1 6.3%

#3 1–2 6.8%

#4 2–1 6.7%

#5 2–3 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FSV Frankfurt2.1

Steinbach2.2

COMBINED 4.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.1% · O3.5 PROB 62.3%

Form & verdict PPG

FSV FRANKFURT · PPG 1.33

STEINBACH · PPG 1.67

⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

65%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.33) vs Away GOOD (1.67)

Win probability 1X2

FSV Frankfurt (H) 39.4%

ODDS 1.90 · IMPLIED 52.6% EV -25.1%

Draw 26.1%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV +0.5%

Steinbach (A) 34.5%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV +10.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

FSV Frankfurt face Steinbach in Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FSV Frankfurt a 39% chance, the draw 26% and Steinbach 35%, so FSV Frankfurt are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for FSV Frankfurt and 2.2 for Steinbach (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FSV Frankfurt are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.67 for Steinbach. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +27.7%. This match finished 0-6.

FSV Frankfurt vs Steinbach Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest

Match Preview & Prediction

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