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Eintracht Trier vs Kickers Offenb. Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest

Südwest · Matchday 31 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 12:00

Eintracht Trier

PPG 1.93 · HOME

LAST 5

WWLDW

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Kickers Offenb.

PPG 1.07 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLDWL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 60% chance

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 60.5% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9% — a real, if thin, edge.

+1.0% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.9%0-15.5%0-25.2%0-33.3%0-4+2.4%1 1-04.7%1-19.0%1-28.6%1-35.4%1-4+4.0%2 2-03.9%2-17.4%2-27.1%2-34.5%2-4+3.3%3 3-02.1%3-14.1%3-23.9%3-32.5%3-4+1.8%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-12.4%4+-22.3%4+-31.5%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.6% 40.8% 2.45 -15.2%

Draw 28.1% 28.6% 3.50 -1.7%

Away win 37.4% 40.8% 2.45 -8.4%

Over 2.5 60.5% 59.9% 1.67 +1.0%

Over 3.5 47.5% 37.0% 2.70 +28.2%

BTTS 58.5% 64.5% 1.55 -9.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 26%

ROI -39.7%

Bet Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob58.5%

D 28% / xG 1.6-1.9 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.0%

#2 1–2 8.6%

#3 2–1✓ 7.4%

#4 2–2 7.1%

#5 1–3 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eintracht Trier1.6

Kickers Offenb.1.9

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.5% · O3.5 PROB 47.5%

Form & verdict PPG

EINTRACHT TRIER · PPG 1.93

KICKERS OFFENB. · PPG 1.07

✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

60%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.93) vs P(Home)=34.6%

Win probability 1X2

Eintracht Trier (H) 34.6%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -15.2%

Draw 28.1%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -1.7%

Kickers Offenb. (A) 37.4%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -8.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Eintracht Trier face Kickers Offenb. in Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eintracht Trier a 35% chance, the draw 28% and Kickers Offenb. 37%, so Kickers Offenb. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Eintracht Trier and 1.9 for Kickers Offenb. (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eintracht Trier are averaging 1.93 points per game versus 1.07 for Kickers Offenb.. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +28.2%. This match finished 2-1.

Eintracht Trier vs Kickers Offenb. Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - SudWest

Match Preview & Prediction

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