Yunnan Yukun vs S. Shenhua Prediction & Tips

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China - Super League Regular Season - 12 Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium· Yuxi Saturday, May 16, 2026 12:00

Yunnan Yukun PPG 1.40

1-0 MISS

S. Shenhua PPG 1.60

Away· +17.8% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 40.6%

Odds: 1.90 EV: -22.9%

Draw 22.6%

Odds: 4.00 EV: -5.8%

Away 36.8%

Odds: 3.20 EV: +17.8%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 69.8% Odds: 1.33 -7.2%

Over 3.5 63.3% Odds: 1.80 +13.9%

BTTS 66.7% Odds: 1.30 -13.3%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-2 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 2-3 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Yunnan Yukun

2.17

S. Shenhua

2.19

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -7.2% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-7.2%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.40), Away GOOD (1.60)