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Croatia - First NL
Regular Season - 31
Saturday, May 16, 2026
11:45
Sesvete
PPG 2.00
1-2
MISS
Dugopolje
PPG 1.07
Home· -0.1%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
45.4%
Odds: 2.20
EV: -0.1%
Draw
31.5%
Odds: 3.00
EV: -5.5%
Away
23.0%
Odds: 3.00
EV: -18.6%
Result: Away ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
35.0%
Odds: 2.20
-23.0%
Over 3.5
10.5%
Odds: 4.33
-32.7%
BTTS
46.2%
Odds: 1.95
-9.9%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘
BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
0-0
✘
2nd
1-0
✘
3rd
1-1
✘
4th
2-0
✘
5th
0-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Sesvete
1.13
Dugopolje
0.65
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=45.4%